Earnings Multiple

  

Maybe the most common Wall Street valuation metric. Earnings in this sense refers to GAAP earnings; that is...it includes all of the accounting gymnastics needed to calculate true earnings in a given period. That's stuff like the decline in value of the tractor smelting factory (depreciation) and the amortization of sales contracts slowly going away, etc.

That is, earnings ain't cash earnings...they're accounting earnings. But if a company makes a dollar a share and it trades for $20 a share, then the valuation investors are placing on those earnings are a multiple of its earnings. So in this case, assuming nothing funky is going on with the company's balance sheet, then it is being valued at 20x earnings.

What could be funky?

What if the company had $12 a share in cash and no debt on its balance sheet. Well, then the entire company is still valued at 20x earnings, but you'd say that the equity value of the company (subtract the cash) is being valued at just 8x earnings. That's the multiplier, for good, bad, and ugly.

Related or Semi-related Video

Finance: What is Price-to-earnings-to-gr...5 Views

00:00

Finance Allah shmoop what is priced toe earnings to growth

00:06

or a peg ratio You know what the P E

00:10

ratio is right And if you don't I'll check out

00:12

our fine opus on said Subject Here it's him up

00:15

So price here's build a bore Stock trading at forty

00:19

bucks a share It had net income or earnings last

00:22

year of two bucks a share in trades at yes

00:24

twenty times earnings So that's a P and in hee

00:28

price and in earnings there it trades at twenty times

00:31

earnings Um yeah So what does that mean Well if

00:36

it held the earnings flat and basically all of its

00:38

earnings was cash earnings Not like some fancy accounting trick

00:42

Well if earnings were flat for twenty years well the

00:45

company would have made back all of its valuation in

00:48

cash profits and everyone would yawn right Twenty years at

00:52

two bucks a year twenty times two is forty right

00:54

Well that company would have paid up five percent cash

00:57

return yield Right Two bucks in earnings over forty bucks

01:00

a share to over forty in California and in Texas

01:04

is five percent So is that a good return about

01:06

return Was there a lot of risk in that number

01:08

Growth shrinkage Wealth in a peg ratio Earnings growth is

01:13

taken into consideration when evaluating the ratios of a stock

01:17

So twenty times earnings is kind of a ho hum

01:19

multiple But this company has no growth so that twenty

01:22

times is probably a pretty high multiple as a multiple

01:25

You know all things considered like twenty years a long

01:28

time to get all your money back What if earnings

01:30

were doubling each year for the next five years Like

01:32

earnings went from two to four to eight to sixteen

01:35

to thirty two bucks a share Well then twenty times

01:37

earnings was ludicrously cheap Growth was one hundred percent versus

01:42

that zero percent where twenty times earnings Look you know

01:45

decent Well the basic idea and this one is coined

01:47

by Peter Lynch the famed portfolio manager who brought Fidelity

01:51

to fame Is that a peg ratio of one means

01:54

that a stock is basically fairly priced that is P

01:57

E ratios need contexts specifically the context of earnings growth

02:02

The formula takes the P E ratio say it's a

02:04

twenty and then puts it over the annual earnings per

02:08

share growth number and note that it's per share not

02:11

just overall company earnings Like if a company grew earnings

02:15

by acquiring for stock a lot of competitors well it's

02:18

share count would balloon While it's earnings grew fast as

02:21

well but likely the dilution and suffered would mitigate most

02:25

of the upside in earnings growth So on our twenty

02:27

times earnings number a company with no growth gives us

02:30

a peg ratio of twenty over zero which is an

02:34

undefined number But peg ratio is all about how expensive

02:38

the price to earnings ratio is relative to the growth

02:41

of the company Wow we did not see that plot 00:02:45.65 --> [endTime] twist coming yellow

Up Next

Finance: What is the Price-To-Earnings Ratio?
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What is the price-to-earnings ratio? It's the price of the stock divided by its earnings. Stock price: $14; earnings: $1. The P-E ratio then is 14.

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