Economic Recovery

Categories: Econ, Tax

The good about economic recovery? Output is up, unemployment is down, and the recession is over! The bad? You don’t need economic recovery unless there was a recession in the first place, so...that’s awkward.

In our capitalist economy, we have boom and bust cycles: times when the economy is flying high and times when the economy is down in the dumps. The part where a downturn starts looking like an upturn again is when economic recovery happens.

As with recessions, with economic recovery, we don’t know we’re there until we’re there. It can take a few months to be really sure the state of things since there’s a ton of economic indicators fluctuating all of the time, like GDP, inflation, unemployment, and the stock market.

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Finance: What is economic cyclicality ("...13778 Views

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Finance allah shmoop What is economic cyclicality All right Well

00:07

if you looked at the history of growth and decline

00:10

in the u s economy you think it was run

00:13

by a bunch of knuckleheads Meat would poop and poop

00:16

all in congress Now surprisingly o r maybe not In

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fact economic cyclicality is a reflection of resource glut and

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then scarcity and the willingness of buyers Teo you know

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buy stuff that is when times were good consumers and

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businesses by things hire workers consume commodities at office space

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and factories until there is a shift in tastes and

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sentiment You know like the horse industry before henry ford

00:43

came along anyway Sometimes the shift that triggers an economic

00:47

cycle comes from the government like when times air too

00:50

good there's usually rampant inflation People in companies will simply

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choose to just pay up the extra two bucks a

00:56

foot to a rent office space The company can pass

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on that extra cost by raising its prices to customers

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from eighty dollars a year to ninety dollars and nobody

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will notice until they do Yeah the government wanted desperately

01:08

to cool inflation in the nineteen seventies so the fed

01:12

raised short term borrowing rate costs dramatically from somewhere in

01:16

the three to four percent range to closer to like

01:18

ten percent And the cost of renting money became so

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expensive And because companies were highly leveraged borrowing money to

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build factories and hire workers and expand that well then

01:30

everything contracted with leverage right So they had all this

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debt and revenues went down They still to pay the

01:35

dead and well that was a bad scene So inflation

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was contained at the cost of a vastly cooler economy

01:42

So things contract then like a scared turtle or a

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you know like when it do jumps in a cold

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ocean and all right But then eventually one brave alligator

01:52

emerges to see if it concrete's back up under the

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top of the food chain and eat some chickens or

01:59

dear Whatever alligators eat what do they eat anyway And

02:03

the consumer starts buying things adding risk rever been reducing

02:07

it and the cycle takes off again gets picture You

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know it's the circle the circle of life round and

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round It goes where it stops Well actually we do 00:02:15.523 --> [endTime] know Circle of economy

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