Inflationary Risk

  

Categories: Econ

See: Inflation. See: Risk.

Rates are low. The economy is hummin'. Odds are good we get inflation.

The big risk here would be if we had loaned money to someone for a long duration (like a decade) at fixed rates. Call 'em 5%. But then inflation is 4.3234% a year, each year, for 10 years compounded. The value of that terminal, final principal repayment, on real terms then, would be low, relative to the damage inflation did to its eventual value.

Sad face.

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interrelated okay so here's an illustration of risk you're in a golf [golfball near a golf hole]

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three or four half swing strokes to reach the green if you're cool with [golfer taking multiple shots and reaches the green]

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shooting 28 over par or a hundred today well then maybe these half

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swings are your ticket to happiness sometimes a score of a hundred wins the [golfer stood beside a scoreboard with a score of 100]

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putt it goes out of bounds with a vengeance there, ouch.. all right well on

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the investing golf course like this one generally speaking riskier investments [golf course made into an investment course]

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right now how about the odds of a billion people still being enamored of [myspace and whatever.com with number of people liking the website rising]

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whatever com yeah much less clear like less clear than crystal pepsi.. Risky can

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realism yeah..risky can also be just a company that doesn't pay a dividend if a

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initial investment returned to you you can make money even if the stock price [company's share price, dividend and yield]

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doesn't go up in the case where stock pays no dividend your instead betting [person puts chips onto a roulette table]

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