Overleveraged

Categories: Credit, Investing

Birds do it (on too-thin-tree-limbs). Homeowners do it (via mortgages they can't afford). And corporations do it when greed drowns out fear in their brains.

Whatever.com has $50 million in cash flow from operations, doesn't need many expenditures on capital upgrades, and thinks it's going to grow cash flow 30% a year for the foreseeable future. It wants to buy competitors, so it borrows $250 million at 8% interest, thinking that it'll keep growing even faster under the turbo-charging effect of these acquisitions.

Unfortunately, the whole industry of whatevering just got soft. Consumers stopped spending. Regulators got involved. Whatevering stopped being cool. So their $50 million dwindled to $15 million, and the $250 million they borrowed to buy things only produced another $20 million in cash flow to the company. They have just $35 million in cash flow coming in, and payments of close-to-that-amount due each year.

So...ouch. Now what? Yeah, "sell Mortimer, sell," if you can. If not, may we suggest prayer in a few languages. Overleveraged speaks to many gods.

Related or Semi-related Video

Econ: What is General Price Level?4 Views

00:00

And finance Allah shmoop What is general price level You

00:07

go to the sort of by your usual weekly staples

00:09

canned chili caramel dip frozen bananas pickled kiwi Ryan's and

00:14

replacement anima tubes Every week you buy the same things

00:18

weekend week out Your grocery cart has the same four

00:21

items It's been like this for years Same stuff every

00:24

week You're a creature of habit And yes you have

00:27

those digestive problems that you might want to check out

00:30

But that's for another video OK overtime prices for the

00:32

individual items move in all different directions Prices for some

00:36

of the items might go up while prices for others

00:38

might go down even when everything moves in the same

00:41

direction While the prices don't change at the same rate

00:44

some see big jumps in price Some barely see moves

00:47

at all For instance in the past year the price

00:49

of a can of chili rose from a buck forty

00:51

six to a buck forty nine an increase of about

00:54

two percent No big deal however Pickled kiwi rinds have

00:58

jumped to seven dollars Sixty nine cents from seven dollars

01:01

nine cents an increase of nearly eight and a half

01:04

percent Yeah much bigger deal Meanwhile the price of anima

01:07

tube's actually fell during the year leaking or dipping to

01:10

six dollars forty nine cents from six seventy four Well

01:13

those air individual price levels But what about general price

01:18

levels Will the general price level is a measure of

01:20

prices across an entire system not just the direction of

01:24

a price the direction of all prices You know general

01:28

prices Right So this week all the items in your

01:31

grocery cart cost you twenty dollars Two cents That's your

01:34

general price level If you want to make an economic

01:37

indicator out of it well call it your personal general

01:39

price indicator or PGP I once you know the general

01:43

price level while you contract overall price changes over time

01:47

So a year ago the four items that you buy

01:49

every week totaled nineteen dollars Forty two cents This year

01:52

Twenty dollars two cents Your PGP I rose three point

01:56

one percent from last year And there's a map new

01:58

minus old overalls that you get that percent growth formula

02:02

thinking well In real life he's general price levels are

02:04

used to track inflation or deflation though well it doesn't

02:08

happen all that often deflating things People like to rattle

02:11

off inflation stats but it's actually a tricky thing to

02:14

really track Honestly you're fairly er accurately in a complex

02:18

economy prices for various products are moving in different directions

02:21

all the time and a different rates all the time

02:24

Combining all this action into a single stat well is

02:27

extremely complicated There are a lot of competing indicators that

02:30

measure the general price levels in the overall economy The

02:33

most high profile of these is the Consumer Price index

02:37

or CP I It works like the total price is

02:40

for your weekly grocery basket except that the CP I

02:44

includes a big basket like a basket with a representative

02:47

sample off of all the stuff people by at least

02:50

all the stuff that CPS measures And it's like thousands

02:53

of things Your personal consumer price index may include just

02:56

those four items that you buy every week You know

02:59

the basket where one in four of the items are

03:01

enema tube But the C P I R consumer price

03:04

index is a lot broader thousands of items that people

03:07

die all the time or in that index So yeah

03:10

enema to prices make up well hopefully far less than 00:03:13.87 --> [endTime] twenty five percent of that index What

Find other enlightening terms in Shmoop Finance Genius Bar(f)