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Finance: What is economic cyclicality ("boom or bust")? 13778 Views


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What is economic cyclicality (“boom or bust”)? Economic cyclicality and “boom or bust” cycles refer to the periods of success or decline that the economy faces. In a “boom and bust” situation or cycle, the economy will flourish for a while and then...tank.

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Transcript

00:00

Finance allah shmoop What is economic cyclicality All right Well

00:07

if you looked at the history of growth and decline

00:10

in the u s economy you think it was run

00:13

by a bunch of knuckleheads Meat would poop and poop

00:16

all in congress Now surprisingly o r maybe not In

00:20

fact economic cyclicality is a reflection of resource glut and

00:25

then scarcity and the willingness of buyers Teo you know

00:29

buy stuff that is when times were good consumers and

00:31

businesses by things hire workers consume commodities at office space

00:36

and factories until there is a shift in tastes and

00:40

sentiment You know like the horse industry before henry ford

00:43

came along anyway Sometimes the shift that triggers an economic

00:47

cycle comes from the government like when times air too

00:50

good there's usually rampant inflation People in companies will simply

00:54

choose to just pay up the extra two bucks a

00:56

foot to a rent office space The company can pass

00:59

on that extra cost by raising its prices to customers

01:02

from eighty dollars a year to ninety dollars and nobody

01:05

will notice until they do Yeah the government wanted desperately

01:08

to cool inflation in the nineteen seventies so the fed

01:12

raised short term borrowing rate costs dramatically from somewhere in

01:16

the three to four percent range to closer to like

01:18

ten percent And the cost of renting money became so

01:21

expensive And because companies were highly leveraged borrowing money to

01:26

build factories and hire workers and expand that well then

01:30

everything contracted with leverage right So they had all this

01:33

debt and revenues went down They still to pay the

01:35

dead and well that was a bad scene So inflation

01:38

was contained at the cost of a vastly cooler economy

01:42

So things contract then like a scared turtle or a

01:46

you know like when it do jumps in a cold

01:49

ocean and all right But then eventually one brave alligator

01:52

emerges to see if it concrete's back up under the

01:56

top of the food chain and eat some chickens or

01:59

dear Whatever alligators eat what do they eat anyway And

02:03

the consumer starts buying things adding risk rever been reducing

02:07

it and the cycle takes off again gets picture You

02:10

know it's the circle the circle of life round and

02:13

round It goes where it stops Well actually we do 00:02:15.523 --> [endTime] know Circle of economy

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