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Finance: What is economic cyclicality ("boom or bust")? 13778 Views
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What is economic cyclicality (“boom or bust”)? Economic cyclicality and “boom or bust” cycles refer to the periods of success or decline that the economy faces. In a “boom and bust” situation or cycle, the economy will flourish for a while and then...tank.
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Transcript
- 00:00
Finance allah shmoop What is economic cyclicality All right Well
- 00:07
if you looked at the history of growth and decline
- 00:10
in the u s economy you think it was run
- 00:13
by a bunch of knuckleheads Meat would poop and poop
- 00:16
all in congress Now surprisingly o r maybe not In
Full Transcript
- 00:20
fact economic cyclicality is a reflection of resource glut and
- 00:25
then scarcity and the willingness of buyers Teo you know
- 00:29
buy stuff that is when times were good consumers and
- 00:31
businesses by things hire workers consume commodities at office space
- 00:36
and factories until there is a shift in tastes and
- 00:40
sentiment You know like the horse industry before henry ford
- 00:43
came along anyway Sometimes the shift that triggers an economic
- 00:47
cycle comes from the government like when times air too
- 00:50
good there's usually rampant inflation People in companies will simply
- 00:54
choose to just pay up the extra two bucks a
- 00:56
foot to a rent office space The company can pass
- 00:59
on that extra cost by raising its prices to customers
- 01:02
from eighty dollars a year to ninety dollars and nobody
- 01:05
will notice until they do Yeah the government wanted desperately
- 01:08
to cool inflation in the nineteen seventies so the fed
- 01:12
raised short term borrowing rate costs dramatically from somewhere in
- 01:16
the three to four percent range to closer to like
- 01:18
ten percent And the cost of renting money became so
- 01:21
expensive And because companies were highly leveraged borrowing money to
- 01:26
build factories and hire workers and expand that well then
- 01:30
everything contracted with leverage right So they had all this
- 01:33
debt and revenues went down They still to pay the
- 01:35
dead and well that was a bad scene So inflation
- 01:38
was contained at the cost of a vastly cooler economy
- 01:42
So things contract then like a scared turtle or a
- 01:46
you know like when it do jumps in a cold
- 01:49
ocean and all right But then eventually one brave alligator
- 01:52
emerges to see if it concrete's back up under the
- 01:56
top of the food chain and eat some chickens or
- 01:59
dear Whatever alligators eat what do they eat anyway And
- 02:03
the consumer starts buying things adding risk rever been reducing
- 02:07
it and the cycle takes off again gets picture You
- 02:10
know it's the circle the circle of life round and
- 02:13
round It goes where it stops Well actually we do 00:02:15.523 --> [endTime] know Circle of economy
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